7/19/10

Republicans' Secret Plan to Fix America

If you ever needed to measure just how fundamentally insincere Republicans are about fixing the economy by reducing the deficit, National Republican Congressional Committee chairman Rep. Pete Sessions created a handy yardstick on Sunday's Meet the Press. On that program, two GOP party bigs gathered -- with brave, funereal expressions -- to explain what Republicans will do after the next election cycle. Or, more accurately, to pretend to explain it. In actuality, they'd come to be talking point machines, spitting out focus group-tested slogans that sound good, but say nothing. Host David Gregory gave it a good try, but he could not get Pete to crack. Chairman Sessions -- like Republican National Senatorial Committee chair Sen. John Cornyn -- would only talk about vague goals, not the methods they would use to reach those goals.



If this was a used car lot, you'd start to get the impression that maybe this great deal Honest Pete was trying to give you was a deal on a lemon. "Sessions was, as Gregory noted, dabbling in talking points," reported Sam Stein for Huffington Post, "or, to distill it even further, just repeating the question in the form of an answer. (How are you going to balance the budget? We are going to balance the budget.)"

There's a reason for this. As GOP Rep. Peter King pointed out last week, as soon as you stand for something, you're forced to defend that stand. So it's better just to keep what you stand for under your hat. "...I don’t think we have to lay out a complete agenda, from top to bottom," he said in an interview, "because then we would have the national mainstream media jumping on every point trying to make that a campaign issue."

Yes, how completely unfair would it be to have to campaign on a concrete plan rather than vague, market-researched fluff? "We need to live within our means" and "we need to make sure that as we look at all that we are spending in Washington D.C." sounds nice, but once you get into the specifics -- cuts to medicare, raising the retirement age on Social Security -- you start losing friends. So no specifics. The Republican Party's 2010 message is "we're for what you're for and against what you're against." And, as nebulous as even that message is, it's still not true.

Polls by both ABC News and CBS News show that the public disagrees with the party on their "deficit-cutting above all" message. While the GOP grandstands by blocking an extension of unemployment benefits, 52% of respondents told CBS that they'd rather see unemployment benefits extended than reduce the deficit. ABC found that 62% believe the same thing.

On the same show, Gregory asked John Cornyn why all the deficit-cutting all of a sudden? "Where did some of that debt come from?" he asked. "The President of the United States was George Bush when they passed a huge TARP just to bail out the banks. mean that's what ran up a lot of debt as well. Are you saying a Republican was somehow different?"


Cornyn: Well, you're ignoring the stimulus that was, ah, failed according to the President’s own standards. He said he was supposed to keep unemployment to 8%. A 2.6 trillion dollar health care bill that -- I agree with Pete -- will bankrupt not only the private sector, but the states and the federal government creating a new entitlement program. My point is that unemployment was roughly 6.9% when President Obama was elected, now it’s 9.5%. The deficit was 3.2% the last year President Bush was in office, now it’s 10%. The debt was 2.3 trillion dollars lower in 2008 than it is now, because of runaway spending and debt so...

Gregory: So my question is still: What is the distinction of the Republican Party of today versus the Bush record that you’re defending?

Cornyn: Well, I think what people are looking for, David, are checks and balances. They’ve had single party government, and it's scaring the living daylights out of them, and it's keeping 'job creators' on the sidelines rather than investing and creating jobs. That’s why the private sector isn't creating jobs.



For the record, I pointed out last week that the private sector aren't "job creators." And Bush's debt didn't die when he left office. As anyone who has any can tell you, debt is an ongoing thing. Using a figure from the last year Bush was in office is misleading, since Bush's budget extended into the year after he left office and since he rolled over debt into the future. Unless Bush, like Clinton before him, left office with the budget balanced, Cornyn's figures are pretty meaningless.

But my larger point here is that when Gregory asked him to tell how today's GOP was different from the party under Bush, Cornyn couldn't do it. In fact, when Gregory asked, "What is the distinction of the Republican Party of today versus the Bush record that you’re defending?" Cornyn went ahead and answered a completely different question, as if the host had asked, "What do you think voters want?" Both Cornyn and Sessions absolutely refuse to talk specifics -- what would they cut, what would they limit, what would they repeal, in what way are they different from the deficit-creating GOP of 2001-2008? Instead, they insist on talking about some pie-in-the-sky end-product; Republicans want to balance the budget, Republicans want to reduce the deficit, Republicans want unicorn ranches and rainbow factories and golden statues on every street corner.

And, to go back to the polling about unemployment, why wouldn't they refuse to get specific? They've lost the unemployment extension argument -- the people aren't with them. Further draconianism would just put them on the spot even more. So no specifics at all, just smiley faces and hearts and a perfect world forever and ever. If they tell you what they plan to do (that is, if they even know), they risk losing your vote. So they won't tell you.

It's a secret.

-Wisco


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7/16/10

News Roundup for 7/16/10

Orange Muppet Guy Smiley
House minority leader Boehner


-Headline of the day-
"Boehner: No more new Federal regulations!"

House minority leader, would-be House speaker, and pillar of the Orange-American community John Boehner has had it up to here with burdensome regulations on industry! It's liberals' answer to everything. A big oil volcano in the Gulf of Mexico because the oil industry wasn't paying attention? More regulations on the oil industry! Wall Street melts down because it had become a rigged casino? More regulations on Wall Street! A mine in West Virginia caves in because mining safety regulations are pretty much nonexistent? More regulations on the mining industry! We need a moratorium on new regulations! Do it, do it now!

Seriously, wasn't everything going just fine before?

This hit the blogs and everyone agreed that John Boehner was being stupid, so he checked the polls and figured he could afford to throw the oil industry out the window. "More regulation of Big Oil!" Boehner's spokesman said later in the day. "Boo for Big Oil! We're gonna call those "emergency regulations," so those don't count. Other than that, no more regulations..."

You know what I'm having trouble remembering? A statement by John Boehner that wasn't walked back the same day. (Plum Line)


-The party of ideas-
Republicans are being accused of be all obstruction and no ideas. In fact, it wouldn't be much of a stretch to say that the GOP could get away with adopting "We're Against Things!" as the official GOP motto. If that doesn't seem classy enough, then whatever that is in Latin.

But Rep. Peter King takes offense at the accusation. Republicans are totally for things and they'd love to tell you what those things are, but it's a secret -- shhh!

In a discussion with radio host Bill Bennett -- who wants to abort black babies, by the way -- King explained that as soon as Republicans explain what they stand for, everyone's going to make a big deal about how dumb they are. So mum's the word.

"...I don t think we have to lay out a complete agenda, from top to bottom," he told Bill, "because then we would have the national mainstream media jumping on every point trying to make that a campaign issue."

So if you think you've figured out what the GOP stands for, don't tell anyone! Not only will it screw up their chances in November, but it'll spoil the surprise. (Think Progress)


-Bonus HotD-
"Hannity: 'I can't find any' racist Tea Party signs."

Finding works better when you actually look, Sean. (Raw Story, with video)

An Effort to Motivate the Democratic Base

Gibbs and Obama talk togetherOne of the things I think it's really important to understand about American politics is a handy rule; people don't vote for things, they vote against things. Like most handy rules, it's not 100% true. The candidate who's all criticism and no alternative proposals isn't going to get very far. But it's true enough. It might be more accurate to say that people are more motivated to vote against things than for things. It's why negative campaigning and attack ads work.

But there are more ways to motivate people to vote against something than smears and mudslinging. Obviously, if your opponent is just plain awful, you only need to point out what their positions actually are. It's this approach that Harry Reid is using against Sharron Angle in Nevada. "Negative" doesn't necessarily mean dishonest. Sometimes, all you have to do is point out that the person who's falling down drunk isn't the best person to choose as designated driver.

And sometimes, the negative campaigning goes under the radar. I believe this is the case with one of the stories of the week. On Sunday, White House press secretary Robert Gibbs pointed out that bad things could happen to the House of Representatives in November. "I think there's no doubt there are enough seats in play that could cause Republicans to gain control," Gibbs said on Meet The Press. "There's no doubt about that." When a Republican says they'll take the House, it gets press, but not a lot of attention out here in the real world. They're supposed to say that, for the same reason that a football player assures everyone that they're going to win the big game. But when a player on the other teams says it, then that makes some ripples.


[John Dickerson, Slate:]

Did Gibbs let slip one of those truths that everyone in Washington knows but that as the president's spokesman is not supposed to admit? No. He merely articulated the White House political strategy.

[...]

In May, the president warned that if Republicans took over Congress, they would repeal the just-passed health care law. He added that they'd drive the country's economy into the ditch again, as they did last time they were in control. "The American people will have a choice about whether or not we're going to keep rebuilding [an] America that is stronger and more prosperous," Obama said at a Democratic fundraiser in New York, "or going back to the policies that got us into this mess in the first place." He has repeated those remarks since then, including at two events last week in Missouri and Nevada.

In a campaign where neither party benefits much from positive messages and where the Democratic base is dispirited and less enthusiastic than its counterparts, fear is the best motivator. Since Sarah Palin isn't running for anything this time around, the best specter the president has to conjure is Republicans in control of Congress...



John Boehner becomes speaker of the House and, for example, Joe Barton becomes the chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee. Not the most appetizing prospect. You don't even have to say anything bad about these people. The base knows House Republicans pretty well; well enough to get spooked by the idea of having them running things. And there's some crossover to this appeal; nationally, Republicans are still less trusted on the economy than Democrats. Having people pause and think about what it would really mean to have the GOP running the House can only benefit Democrats. So "Republicans could win" becomes a winning message for Democrats.

This strategy also involves the White House throwing themselves under the bus. There isn't much danger for Obama there, because he's not up for reelection until two years from now. And there isn't any doubt that his polling sucks, so allowing House dems to distance themselves from -- or even attack -- the White House isn't the worst idea anyone's ever had. For her part, Speaker Pelosi took up the message to rally the troops (emphasis mine):


Friend --

Here is what will happen in November. Democrats will keep control of the House. Period.

While some Washington pundits are claiming that Republicans have the momentum, I remain more confident in our chances for victory as long as we have our secret weapon -- you.



Democrats can either enroll their entire base in a motivational seminar and hope they all show up or they can motivate them to vote against Republicans. And there's also a post-election messaging war to be won here. It's not unreasonable to believe that Pelosi's good cop argument will turn out to be the winning argument. There are good reasons to believe it's unlikely that the GOP takes the House of Representatives in November. Premature Republican triumphalism may hurt that party in the end, dispiriting the teabagging base who've been promised over and over that their efforts will not be in vain. Among the GOP base, the mood isn't one of optimism, but of certainty. A continuing Democratic majority would demoralize them. Of course, there's the predictable danger that this base will become even more insane because of it, but that's a prospect I think everyone's willing to live with. Personally, I don't think these people are in it for the long haul. Once they fail to "take their country back," I think there's going to be some attrition through desertion. Hysterical, eye-gouging, hair-tearing outrage is exhausting. Unless you have a talent for it, you can only keep it up for so long.

There's a lot of that kind of talent out there in the Republican base, but it's by no means universal.

-Wisco


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7/15/10

News Roundup for 7/15/10

Coleman
How can we miss you when you won't go away?


-Headline of the day-
"Right Wing Howls: Felons Put Franken Over The Top! (Nope)"

You probably remember how Al Franken's Minnesota Senate race against Norm Coleman would not end! I think it began in 1920 and then Franken was declared the winner like last week. I may be a little hazy on the details, but that's the general idea. I probably blacked a lot of it out as a psychological defense against PTSD. It was just way too close.

How close? By the time they counted and recounted and recounted and recounted, Franken won by 312 votes -- out of 2.9 million cast. So that close. And Republican efforts to win that election apparently still will not end! Only beer can save my sanity now.

A rightwing group who call themselves "Minnesota Majority" wants you to know they really are the majority because AL FRANKEN STOLE THE ELECTION!

See, it works this way: Al Franken won by 312 votes, 480 felons voted illegally, and those felons voted for Franken, because Republicans are Boy Scouts who never break the law. It's in the Bible. Look it up.

But there's a little problem here (in addition to the statistical sorcery that would have felons voting in ways that are different from everyone else): the number of felons was not 480. The Coleman campaign was trying to throw out even votes with scribbles and smiley faces on them, so it's not so surprising that they were pretty successful in weeding out all the felons. Officials looked at MM's list and concluded it was BS.

"We received about 480 names from Minnesota Majority," said Ramsey County's lead prosecutor Phil Carruthers, "About 270 were clearly inaccurate and were rejected right from the get-go." So, just to be clear, 480 - 270 = 210. If every single felon voted for Franken, it still wouldn't make enough of a difference. And that's just counting the ones that were discounted right away -- there's no reason to believe the rest of the list isn't as lousy.

Sorry Norm Coleman, you still lose. (Talking Points Memo)


-Cartoon time with Mark Fiore-
Hey kids, Little Green Man is back! And he wants to know what we watch on the teevee machine!

Little Green Man
Click for animation


I guess what we don't watch says a lot more about us than what we do... (MarkFiore.com)


-Bonus HotD-
"Rand Paul on upcoming election: War in Afghanistan 'is really a complete non-issue.'"

Anyone else starting to get the idea that Randy's just dumb? (Think Progress)

Calling Teapartiers Racist Offends Rightwing PC

Woman with racist signThe Tea Party is angry. They're angry about taxes -- at a time when their taxes where almost certainly reduced. They're angry about government spending -- after being silent about an eight-year government spending spree. They're angry about intrusive, big government -- while supporting candidates who advocate torture, warrantless wiretapping, government regulation the sort of sex you're allowed to have, and keeping women pregnant against their will. Hypocrisy seems to be a hallmark of the teabaggers, along with runaway ignorance and a new -- and disturbing -- sort of politically correctness.

But one thing the Tea Party is most definitely not is racist. Pointing out racists among the teabaggers is mostly definitely verboten by their new PC. And, since the teabaggers are just an extension of the Republican Party's base, it is likewise most un-PC to accuse the party of racism. And now the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People is being most un-PC.


[ABC News:]

The National Association for the Advancement of Colored People this evening unanimously passed a resolution that calls on Tea Party members to repudiate what [NAACP President Ben] Jealous says are "ultra-nationalist and racist factions within the organization."

The resolution said the Tea Party members have used "racial epithets," have verbally abused black members of Congress and threatened them, and protestors have engaged in "explicitly racist behavior" and "displayed signs and posters intended to degrade people of color generally and President Barack Obama specifically."

Jealous specifically pointed to signs at rallies portraying President Obama as a witch doctor, and to claims made by Rep. John Lewis, D-Ga., and Rep. Emanuel Cleaver, D-Mo., that Tea Party protesters opposing health care reform hurled racial slurs at them.

"They need to be unequivocal and they need to be responsible and get the bigots out of their organization. It's that simple," Jealous added.



Oh sure, just because some teapartiers walk around with racist signs, it means that there are racists in the Tea Party. The St. Louis Tea Party coalition fired off a counter-resolution accusing the NAACP of bigotry and "hypocritically engaging in the very conduct it purports to oppose." Scholars of tactics in debate will recognize this as the rarely-used "Peewee Herman gambit" -- i.e., "I know you are, but what am I?"

But the question remains; is the Tea Party racist? As the NAACP points out, they seem way too comfortable with racists in their midst -- as is the GOP as a whole. If they don't encourage racist messages, they don't waste a lot of effort in chasing racists out of their rallies. And this is also true of the wider Republican Party. In an effort to promote their new PC, Republicans are pretending that certain Americans don't exist at all.


[Associated Press:]

Some Republicans are unhappy with the Bonner County [Idaho] Fair's theme of "Fiesta at the Fair," in light of ongoing battles to stop illegal immigration from Mexico.

The Bonner County GOP said it will decorate its booth with the word "celebrate" instead of "fiesta." The Republicans have also asked Arizona officials for some license plates to put in the booth, to show support for that state's controversial law targeting illegal immigrants.

"The Republicans at BCRCC want to make it very clear that English is our primary language, and call our booths 'Celebrate!' and display some Arizona license plates if you have some to spare," Bonner County Republican Central Committee Chairman Cornel Rasor wrote in a letter to Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer, according to The Spokesman-Review newspaper.



There are no legal Hispanics residents, I suppose. "Bonner County fair board Chairman Tim Cary said the fair was just looking for a theme that's fun to decorate with, and the choice had nothing to do with official language or immigration disputes," according to the report.

"Are we supposed to change the name of a burrito to something in English?" Cary said. "I'm thinking there's some narrow-mindedness here, but that's just my opinion." No Chairman Cary, I don't think that's an opinion. I think that's a fact being demonstrated at the very moment. "Fiesta" has just joined the growing list of words banned by the new rightwing PC. Right after "Islam," probably.

For other news on the non-racist right, we can turn to the Southern Poverty Law Center, which reports that white supremacists are donating to a legal defense fund aimed at helping that state defend it's "papers please" law against a Justice Department lawsuit. This shouldn't surprise anyone, since white nationalists have been behind this law since day one. A law that's practically designed to harass Hispanic people -- legal or not... what's not to love? At this time, the Arizona government is not turning away money raised by hate groups, but whether that changes will depend on whether the rest of the media picks up on that story. So, sadly, I'm guessing no. Like the Tea Party and the GOP, the Republican-led Arizona state government is way too comfortable with racists.

But we can't talk about that, because that's not PC.

-Wisco


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