9/17/09

News Roundup for 9/17/09

WWII era Soviet locomotive
Choo! Choo! Here comes godless communism!


-Headline of the day-
"GOP Rep Who Suggested D.C. Metro Hurt 9/12 Turnout Voted Against Metro Funding."

I've already written about this once today, but it's gotten better since then.

To recap, GOP Rep. Kevin Brady is mad because DC Metro didn't run extra subway trains for the big 9/12 "we hate Obama/big-gummint/socialism!" rally. In other words, he's all pissed off that government didn't use taxpayer dollars to expand government services -- so wingnuts could go to the national mall and protest using taxpayer dollars to expand government services. Yeah, it's like that. Typical GOP hypocrisy.

Now it turns out that Brady voted against funding those same subways because it's socialism or something. See, that's the way it starts; first you beef up the subway trains in the nation's capital and then you round everyone up and send them to camps. Ask Hitler.

Of course, it makes you wonder if Brady has any idea of how this whole "mass transit" thing works. Maybe he believes it runs on unicorn farts and the pure thoughts of little children. I don't know the man, so I don't want to speak for him.

One thing is clear, though; public ownership of an industry is socialism and bad. Mass transit is public ownership of an industry, so it's socialism (No, really. Look it up). As socialism, it's evil... That is, until a bunch of frootloops want to use it to protest socialism.

Then you need more, more, more. (Plum Line)


-Cartoon time with Mark Fiore-
Hey kids, do you know what this week is? It's the Crashiversary -- yay!


Click for animation


Good times, good times... And look how far we've come! (MarkFiore.com)


-Bonus HotD-
"Teen birth rates highest in most religious states."

Yeah, there's a shock. You don't actually have to read the story to find out why, since the subheader reads, "Link may be due to communities frowning on contraception, researchers say." Yeah, maybe. Or it could be an epidemic of immaculate conception.

This isn't the first time a study has come out with the same findings. Turns out the kids most likely to ask, "What's a condom?" are also the most likely to get pregnant. It's totally unpredictable and no one has any idea what to do about it. It's a social stumper.

Expect religious leaders to address this problem with a call to prayer -- because that worked so well the last ten times... (LiveScience)

We Waited Months For This?

Yesterday, there was a little bump on Wall Street. HealthNet shares increased by 3%, United Health Group Inc shares rose by 2.7%, Humana Inc. grew by 2.6%, Wellpoint stock rose 1.7%, and Aetna Inc. gained 1.6%. The Center for American Progress's Think Progress asked former insurance executive Wendell Potter, now an insurance industry critic, what might explain this; "[E]very time there is an article in a big newspaper questioning the success of progressives in getting a good bill passed, the stock will go up," Potter said. "The analysts/investors don't think any good reform is going to happen, or anything that would happen that would adversely affect the insurance companies." So what big story was out there to cheer insurance company investors?

Max Baucus's healthcare reform bill has finally been introduced. Wow, there's a ringing endorsement. Only Max Baucus and the insurance companies like this dog. "The Baucus framework is just an absolute joke," Potter told reporters after reviewing the bill. "It is an absolute gift to the industry. And if that is what we see in the legislation, (America’s Health Insurance Plans chief) Karen Ignagni will surely get a huge bonus." Pop the champagne corks!

"Potter said the proposal would not provide affordable coverage," Politico reports. "It gives the industry too much latitude to charge higher premiums based on age and geographic location, fails to mandate employer coverage, and pushes consumers into plans with limited benefits..." Not to mention a lack of a public option.

"I was stunned to see that the bill allows insurers to charge up to five times as much for some enrollees as for others, based on age," writes health analyst RJ Eskow. "...The Baucus bill allows insurers to use age as a proxy for costly medical conditions and make coverage prohibitively expensive for those who need it the most."

In other words, age would now be a pre-existing condition and you can expect to pay out the nose as you get older. This isn't what you'd call "reform," so much as it is just making things worse.

At least on Democratic member Baucus's Finance Committee, Jay Rockefeller, says he can't vote for the Baucus bill, citing a tax-funding formula that will be passed on to middle class workers.


[Teddy Davis, ABC News:]

The Baucus proposal would impose, starting in 2013, a 35 percent excise tax on insurance companies for "high-cost plans" -- defined as those above $8,000 for individuals and $21,000 for family plans.

Health economists believe a tax on high-priced benefits could help slow the growth of health costs by making consumers more sensitive to prices.

The tax contemplated by Baucus is also a big revenue raiser. It is expected to raise $200 billion, money that Baucus is hoping to use to pay for subsidies for the uninsured.

Given how much money this kind of tax can raise, Rockefeller says he understands why it is "tempting."



But Baucus either seems to believe that only the wealthy have "high-cost" plans or just doesn't care who does. In his own state of West Virginia, Rockefeller sees this as hurting coal miners, who have generous plans because of the health problems arising from their work.

"He should understand that (his proposal) means that virtually every single coal miner is going to have a big, big tax put on them because the tax will be put on the company and the company will immediately pass it down and lower benefits because they are self insured, most of them, because they are larger," Rockefeller says. "They will pass it down, lower benefits, and probably this will mean higher premiums for coal miners who are getting very good health care benefits for a very good reason. That is, like steelworkers and others, they are doing about the most dangerous job that can be done in America."

While Rockefeller may be the only Democrat on the committee willing to say he'll vote against it, that doesn't mean others won't do the same. Statistician Nate Silver took a look at statements from other members of the committee and could only find one senator willing to give the bill even weak support.

"But let's be clear -- some of this is Baucus's chickens coming home to roost," Silver writes. "When you make a unilateral decision to negotiate with only five other people from a 23-person committee and 100-person Senate, and two of those five people have clear electoral disincentives against supporting any plan that you might come up with, the negotiations are liable to end in failure far more often than not. The flurry of on-the-record statements against Baucus's reform plans -- not 'leaks,' not trial balloons -- points toward a defective process."

After weeks going on months of a snipe hunt for Republican votes, Baucus comes up with a bill that Republicans should support -- God knows it's awful enough -- but won't. Mostly because they have no interest in reform at all. The GOP is all about hurting Democrats these days. That's it. That's all they do. Chasing them around trying to reach a compromise was a fool's errand and, apparently, Sen. Max Baucus was just the fool for the job. Worse, when it became obvious that there would be no bipartisan bill, Baucus went ahead and threw in a bunch of Republican proposals anyway -- maybe so he could pretend it's bipartisan.

Or maybe because Sen. Max Baucus, Democrat of Montana, doesn't work for the people.

"Lobbying disclosure filings for the first quarter of 2009 reveal that five of Baucus’ former staffers currently work for a total of twenty-seven different organizations that are either in the health care or insurance sector or have a noted interest in the outcome," reports the Sunlight Foundation, a group dedicated to government transparency. "The organizations represented include some of the top lobbying organizations in the health sector: Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Researchers of America (PhRMA), America’s Health Insurance Plans (AHIP), Amgen, and GE Health Care."

This has been a fundraising bonanza for Baucus, who received a lot of lobbyist money for his weakly contested 2008 race. "In 2008, Baucus received $1,148,775 from the health sector and $285,850 from the insurance sector," the foundation tells us. "For his career he has received $2,797,381 from the health sector and $1,170,313 from the insurance sector."

The good news is that there are five reform bills from various house and senate committees that will have to be resolved into a single bill through mark-up in each chamber, then in conference committee between both houses before it reaches the president's desk -- of these, Baucus's is easily the worst and seems to be the least popular. It's also the only bill without a public option.

Those Wall Street insurance company investors might want to chug that champagne, because this party may not last very long.

-Wisco


Get updates via Twitter

9/16/09

News Roundup for 9/16/09

Image from insane asylum
Typical New Jersey residents


-Headline of the day-
"New Jersey Poll: Birthers, Truthers, And The Anti-Christ -- Oh, My!"

According to the report, a new Public Policy Polling survey shows "one out of every three New Jersey conservatives think that Obama could be the anti-Christ." More accurately, 17% think he could be and 18% know it for sure. On a separate question, 33% believe he's not a citizen and 19% can't say for sure.

Dems don't get off easy on this one, as there are "32% of Jersey Democrats who say that George W. Bush had advance knowledge of the 9/11 attacks. In addition, another 19% of Jersey Dems are Truther-Curious, in the undecided column."

Of course, it's sort of a false equivalency to think that 9/11-trutherism, birtherism, and Obama-is-the-antichristerism are all just as loony. After all, Bush famously dismissed a briefing titled "Bin Laden Determined to Strike Within the United States." If you weren't paying a lot of attention, you might think that Bush knew beforehand that Bin Laden was determined to strike within the United States.

But he didn't read it, so he didn't know.

On the other hand, birtherism requires a belief without any evidence at all and antichristerism probably requires stopping your meds. Still, the final score is 68% of Garden State GOPers aren't antichristers, 48% of them aren't birthers, and 49% of dems are in no way truthers. So say the pollsters.

This is all making me a boozer... (Talking Points Memo)


-Not quick on the uptake-
After chasing around Republican votes for months, Sen. Mak Baucus has finally introduced a healthcare reform bill. Saying he had to "try to get the most broad-based bill possible," Max said he "worked very hard to try to get that bipartisan support."

He didn't get any. No Republican will vote on his final bill. And it's an awful pile of legislative crap. Former insurance exec turned whistelblower Wendell Potter calls it an "absolute gift" to the insurance industry. Potter says the Baucus bill "would not provide affordable coverage... gives the industry too much latitude to charge higher premiums based on age and geographic location, fails to mandate employer coverage, and pushes consumers into plans with limited benefits." In other words, he basically wrote a Republican bill.

Still, this isn't the final Senate bill. This will have to be reconciled with Ted Kennedy's HELP Committee bill in markup, so a lot of crap is going to be trimmed out. Then that bill will have to be reconciled with a house bill in conference committee, where we can only hope the rest of Max's bad ideas will be euthanized.

In the end, Baucus held up the process in order to get Republican votes, wrote a legislative dog that Republicans should love, and still can't get a single Republican to vote for it -- mostly because they think it's bad politics for any reform to come out of a Democrat-controlled congress. The shorter version of this is "Max Baucus is an idiot."

That's all the bad news. Here's the good news; we're done with Max Baucus now. He's out of the picture. No longer a powerplayer in healthcare reform. He can go away now.

Thanks for nothing, Max. Don't ever let anyone tell you you're good at this governance stuff. (Think Progress, with video)


-Bad news for 35% of NJ Republicans-
Birther queen Orly Taitz has had yet another lawsuit thrown out of court. I wanted to write "laughed out of court," but the judge wasn't in a humorous mood. US District Court Judge Clay Land warned Taitz that she could face sanctions if she kept wasting courts' time with pointless lawsuits and basically told her to shut up, go away, and don't ever come back.

"First, Plaintiff's challenge to her deployment order is frivolous," Land wrote. "She has presented no credible evidence and has made no reliable factual allegations to support her unsubstantiated, conclusory allegations and conjecture that President Obama is ineligible to serve as President of the United States. Instead, she uses her Complaint as a platform for spouting political rhetoric, such as her claims that the President is 'an illegal usurper, an unlawful pretender, [and] an unqualified imposter.'"

Turns out you can't do that. If you're going to file a lawsuit, you've kind of got to make some sort of an argument for your case. The justice system is screwy that way.

"Unlike in Alice in Wonderland, simply saying something is so does not make it so," he wrote. Saying she has burden of proof bass-ackward, Land wrote that Taitz "seeks to use the power of the judiciary to compel a citizen, albeit the President of the United States, to 'prove his innocence' to 'charges' that are based upon conjecture and speculation. Any middle school civics student would readily recognize the irony of abandoning fundamental principles upon which our Country was founded in order to purportedly 'protect and preserve' those very principles."

Unfortunately, Taitz isn't a middle school civics student. She a dentist and a real estate agent and a lawyer and, I think, a false-eyelashes manufacturer. She's also responsible for 9/11. I'm sure of it and it's up to her to prove she's not.

I await her evidence -- that is, if she has any. (Talking Points Memo)

The GOP's Wasted Effort

This weekend, the right had what can only be described as a big (but not nearly as big as they claim) whine-fest on the national mall. The idea was supposedly to recapture the non-partisan unity that followed 9/11. although I don't remember that unity being expressed as a belief that President Bush was an Indonesian Muslim terrorist who was instituting death panels and FEMA work camps to spread communism, like Hitler. The fact was that the 9/12 rally wasn't actually about anything in particular, other than a wish that someone else had won in November. Healthcare reform, creeping socialism, taxes, take your pick -- the protests were about everything and nothing, as focused as bare light bulb, it's light spreading out in every direction.

Writing about this new wingnut rage in general, Henrik Hertzberg writes in The New Yorker:


This sort of lunatic paranoia -- touched with populism, nativism, racism, and anti-intellectualism -- has long been a feature of the fringe, especially during times of economic bewilderment. What is different now is the evolution of a new political organism, with paranoia as its animating principle. The town-meeting shouters may be the organism’s hands and feet, but its heart—also, Heaven help us, its brain -- is a "conservative" media alliance built around talk radio and cable television, especially FOX News. The protesters do not look to politicians for leadership. They look to niche media figures like Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Glenn Beck, Michael Savage, and their scores of clones behind local and national microphones. Because these figures have no responsibilities, they cannot disappoint. Their sneers may be false and hateful -- they all routinely liken the President and the "Democrat Party" to murderous totalitarians -- but they are employed by large, nominally respectable corporations and supported by national advertisers, lending them a considerable measure of institutional prestige. The dominant wing of the Republican Party is increasingly an appendage of the organism -- the tail, you might say, though it seems to wag more often from fear than from happiness. Many Republican officeholders, even some reputed moderates like Senator Chuck Grassley, of Iowa, have obediently echoed the foul nonsense.


Yeah, that's about it. The tail, wagging from fear, is wagging the dog. The Republican Party is leading by following and those they're following are marching in circles with signs advocating contructive ideas like making Barack Obama the president of Kenya (signs, by the way, that use skeptical quotes suggesting that they don't even believe this "Kenya" place really exists).

So how's this brilliant strategy of letting the lunatics steer the party working? About as well as you'd expect. During August, the president was largely absent, following his own foolish strategy of letting Democrats in congress take the lead on healthcare reform. This quickly devolved into namecalling and conspiracy theorizing -- none of which the White House made much of an effort to answer. President Obama's polling numbers fell, but there was no corresponding rise in Republican numbers. The GOP and the wingnuts were hurting Obama, but they weren't helping themselves. Some people decided they didn't like Obama much, but no one decided that Republicans were any better. GOP polling numbers remained flatlined.

"If they look like the only thing they want to do is oppose the president’s plan just to hurt his administration politically, there is significant political risk for Republicans," says right-leaning pollster Scott Rasmussen. "While people aren’t wildly enthusiastic about the particulars [of Democratic healthcare proposals], people do believe our system does need reform."

So, do people see Republicans as being interested solely in trying to hurt Obama's administration politically? Yeah. That's exactly what they see. Buried in a CNN story about polling showing Obama's numbers back on the rise, we find this nugget: "As for the Republicans, six in 10 say they have been obstructing Obama for political reasons. Only a third believe that the GOP has generally offered constructive criticism."

While you could argue that a big part of Obama's '08 message was "Bush sucks!" it wasn't really going out on a limb. You didn't have to look very far to find polling that showed most people believed that was true. Obama's numbers, on the other hand, fell to roughly the same breakdown as his election numbers; i.e., despite the gloom and doom headlines about the drop in approval, we were really just back to November -- when Barack Obama won easily.

I'm not really a fan of mix and match polling, but when most polls are showing the same things, there's really not much danger. A new Washington Post poll shows that Democrats are preferred over Republicans on major issues by 20 points, that 53% believe that healthcare needs reform and want government action, and that 62% don't think Republicans are serious about reform.

In other words, marching around in circles with signs that read "YOU SUCK!" isn't striking people as a very persuasive argument. In fact, it's striking most people as not very helpful. And all these polls show Obama's numbers rising again. In fact, a new Bloomberg poll shows the president at 56% and includes this bit of fun:


Respondents also say by 40 percent to 32 percent that they would vote for a Democratic candidate for Congress in 2010. A slight plurality, 48 percent to 44 percent, has a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party. The Republican Party, by 52 percent to 38 percent, gets an unfavorable rating.


That ought to work out great for them -- the only real majority opinion in that paragraph is that Republicans suck. All the shrieking and whining and lying dinged Obama, but that's buffing out. And it didn't do anything for Republicans.

"This isn’t to minimize the political headwind Obama and Dems face right now," writes Greg Sargent. "But what if a fair amount of the opposition reflects short term anxieties and fear of the legislative unknown? What if a reform bill gets through with virtually no Republican support, and the public decides they like it? How will the GOP’s efforts to block the current proposals look to the public in retrospect?"

Sargent points to a 1993 memo from Bill Kristol about Clinton's reform efforts. In it, Kristol argued "that the realization of reform could banish the GOP to the minority for a generation, by cementing the Dems as the party that's resurrected the notion that government can improve the lives of the middle class." It doesn't seem like much has changed since then. And it's also become clear that Republicans don't believe their messaging -- fear that Democrats might get people to trust government again is an admission that government can help people. The Reaganite "government is a disaster" line turns out to be just that -- a line. It's not true, as we've seen over and over. Government is only a disaster when people who think government doesn't work try to run it. God help Republicans if people ever figure out that correlation. They don't need some Democratic showoff making it obvious.

-Wisco


Get updates via Twitter

9/15/09

News Roundup for 9/15/09

Mr. Peanut
Rep. Joe Wilson


-Headline of the day-
"Mrs. Joe Wilson: My husband is the 'nut' who 'hollered out, "you lie."'

If you've been wondering what the hell the deal is with South Carolina, we get a little peek, courtesy of Joe Wilson's wife. In a campaign video for his re-election, Roxanne Wilson says, "I watched the speech. Joe called me after the speech on Wednesday night and I said, 'Joe who's the nut who hollered out "you lie," "you liar"?' And he goes, 'It was me.' And I said, 'No really! Who did it?' I couldn't believe that Joe would say that!"

Remember, this is a campaign video. Roxie's basically saying that she's convinced her husband is a "nut" -- and this is a good thing. Somewhere along the line, sanity has become pretentious in South Carolina and insanity has become a sort of homespun virtue. If you're not goofy, you're a big elitist phony.

So, if you ever go to South Carolina to visit, wear a birdcage on your head or something. People will think you're a local. (Think Progress, with video)


-Quote of the day-
"In 2007 I finally made it to the Bush White House as a presidential speechwriter. But it was not at all what I envisioned. It was less like Aaron Sorkin's The West Wing and more like The Office."
-Former Bush speechwriter Matt Latimer in his new book Speech Less: Tales of a White House Survivor.

I would've said "more like The Office -- only as a tragedy rather than a comedy." But, hey, it's close enough for government work. (Political Wire)


-Bonus HotD-
"George Bush said Palin was ill prepared: 'Is she the Governor of Guam?'"

More from Latimer's book. It's not clear from the context whether he was kidding or not when he asked the Guam question. Latimer does say "his eyes twinkled" when he asked, but that could've just been all the booze. Bush went on to say, "This woman is being put into a position she is not even remotely prepared for. She hasn’t spent one day on the national level. Neither has her family. Let’s wait and see how she looks five days out."

According to Latimer, this was the most important thing anyone had said about anyone ever. "It was a rare dose of reality in a White House that liked to believe every decision was great, every Republican was a genius, and McCain was the hope of the world because, well, because he chose to be a member of our party," he writes.

I've got an alternate headline for this piece, "It took more than eight years, but we finally found something Bush was right about." (Crooks and Liars)